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Delaware 2026 Election Forecast
Updated Nov 2, 2026, 12:48 AM ET with the latest polls · 40,000 simulated elections · Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026
In Delaware, Chris Coons (D) is all but certain to win the Senate race, and the state's one House seat is rated Safe D, according to PoliGov's forecast for the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
See Delaware on the interactive map →Delaware Senate race
Chris CoonsDemocrat · incumbent
>99%Michael KatzRepublican
<1%RatingSafe D
Projected marginD+24.7
80% rangeD+15.2 to D+34.1
Seat now held byDemocrats
- Polling average: no general-election polls
- Expert ratings: D+22.0, the average of 12 forecasters — 40%
- Fundamentals: D+26.5 (partisan lean D+8, national environment, incumbency) — 60%
Open on the Senate forecast map →
Delaware does not elect a governor in 2026.
Delaware House races
Delaware elects one at-large representative.
| District | Democrat | Republican | Rating | Margin | Dem win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE-ALSarah McBride vs. Joseph Arminio | Sarah McBride | Joseph Arminio | Safe D | D+24.7 | >99% |
Open Delaware on the House forecast map →
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How the model works: methodology. Forecasts are statistical estimates, not certainties or endorsements. Confirm your polling place and voting rules with your state or local election office.